PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Via del Mare

Lecce 2–1 Udinese · Serie A

Lecce

LLLDL
2–1Historical match

Udinese

WDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 2–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.590.88
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Udinese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Udinese): shots 16–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.59–0.88, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lecce's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsLecce 16 shots, Udinese 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotLecce 5 shots, Udinese 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.59 xG0.88 xGLecce 1.59 xG, Udinese 0.88 xG
  • Possession54%46%Lecce 54%, Udinese 46%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersLecce 7 corners, Udinese 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls21 foulsLecce 9 fouls, Udinese 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLecce 1 card, Udinese 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Udinese · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Udinese · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Veiga · Lecce · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Sottil · Lecce · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKonan N'Dri · Lecce · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLassana Coulibaly · Lecce · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gabriel · Lecce · 29′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Lecce · 3′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Lecce · 5′ · 0.42 xG · goalOumar Solet · Udinese · 26′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG. Udinese: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Omri Gandelman · Lecce · 5′Lameck Banda · Lecce · 90′Oumar Solet · Udinese · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.60 xG · Udinese 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
1Draws
4Udinese
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A3–2
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–1
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Udinese · Serie A0–2
Udinese — Lecce · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce24 matchesUdinese24 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.5 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.11 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 11.7 shots/match
2.46 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 3.63 shots/match
43.8%Possession24/24● 45.7%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners24/244.33 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards24/241.88 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceUdinese
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLecce — Udinese
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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