PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

LWDLW
1–0Full-time recap

AS Roma

LWWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseAS Roma
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession36%64%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match4 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · AS Roma13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAS RomaBaseline
Shots12 shots/match13.6 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match9.87 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%▲PossessionUdinese · AS Roma58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAS RomaBaseline
Possession45.7%58.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Udinese
0Draws
1AS Roma
AS Roma — Udinese · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · AS Roma in 7 · 6 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.17 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲0.61 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲13.6 shots/match
12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲9.87 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.87 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.61 shots/match
45.7%Possessionseason · 23/2358.2%
4.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235 corners/match
4.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲3.26 corners/match
1.87 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/231.96 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2314.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲43%
78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2370%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
AS Roma87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese40.8
AS Roma67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese50
AS Roma84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese72.5
AS Roma27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese50
AS Roma61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese52.5
AS Roma77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese50
AS Roma77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match
44.2%Possession5/559.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.5 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
43.8%Possession10/1057.9%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲0.61 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots23/23▲13.6 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.87 shots/match
45.7%Possession23/2358.2%
4.52 corners/matchCorners23/235 corners/match
1.87 cards/matchCards23/231.96 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.08 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.8 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲4.67 shots/match
47%Possession12/1257.5%
4.17 corners/matchCorners12/124.67 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards12/122.25 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseAS Roma
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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