PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Stade Louis II

AS Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–3.

Shots
730
Shots on target
410
Expected goals
1.192.51
Possession
20%80%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Monaco 3–2. Recorded in this match (Monaco – Paris Saint Germain): shots 7–30, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 1.19–2.51, possession 20%–80%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsMonaco · Paris Saint Germain22.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonacoParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match22.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionMonaco · Paris Saint Germain● 69.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonacoParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession43%69.2%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint Germain's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.67 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots30 shotsAS Monaco 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 30 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsAS Monaco 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG2.51 xGAS Monaco 1.19 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.51 xG
  • Possession20%80%AS Monaco 20%, Paris Saint-Germain 80%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersAS Monaco 1 corner, Paris Saint-Germain 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls4 foulsAS Monaco 11 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Monaco · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Monaco · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Monaco · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 29′ · 0.04 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 41′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 41′ · 0.06 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.15 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.19 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 18′ · 0.42 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 1′ · 0.64 xG · goalVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 22′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.20 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 30 shots, 10 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 1′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 18′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 29′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 41′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 1.20 xG · Paris Saint Germain 2.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AS Monaco
1Draws
3Paris Saint-Germain
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–1
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–4
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 15–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco9 matchesParis Saint-Germain9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 2.67 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 2.23 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 22.4 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 7.89 shots/match
43%Possession9/9● 69.2%
4.89 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.89 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/97.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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