PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Metz · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

Metz

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 3–0.

Shots
173
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
2.130.08
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Metz 3–0. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Metz): shots 17–3, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 2.13–0.08, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Metz8.78 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainMetzBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match8.78 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.43 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.5% ●PossessionParis Saint Germain · Metz48.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainMetzBaseline
Possession68.5%48.3%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots3 shotsParis Saint-Germain 17 shots, Metz 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsParis Saint-Germain 7 shots, Metz 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.13 xG0.08 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.13 xG, Metz 0.08 xG
  • Possession67%33%Paris Saint-Germain 67%, Metz 33%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerParis Saint-Germain 4 corners, Metz 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsParis Saint-Germain 9 fouls, Metz 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsParis Saint-Germain 0 cards, Metz 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgiy Tsitaishvili · Metz · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBoubacar Traoré · Metz · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJessy Deminguet · Metz · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 77′ · 0.16 xG · goalDro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 21′ · 0.17 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 3′ · 0.46 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.15 xG. Metz: 3 shots, 0 on target, 0.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Désiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 3′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 45′Gonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 2.15 xG · Metz 0.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Paris Saint-Germain
0Draws
0Metz
Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 15–0
Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain23 matchesMetz23 matches
2.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/230.96 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.26 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231 xG/match
17.7 shots/match ▲Shots23/238.78 shots/match
6.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/232.91 shots/match
68.5% ●Possession23/2348.3%
6.13 corners/match ●Corners23/233.74 corners/match
1.04 cards/matchCards23/231.78 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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