PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 16 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

WWDLD
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaBarcelona
Shots13 shots/match27 shots/match▲
Shots on target9 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession29%71%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.83 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Barcelona20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots9.83 shots/match20.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match9.63 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5%▲PossessionGirona · Barcelona68.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGironaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession48.5%68.8%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Girona
0Draws
1Barcelona
Barcelona — Girona · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲2.67 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.04 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.83 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲20.6 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/24▲9.63 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲7.38 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲3.96 shots/match
48.5%Possessionseason · 24/2468.8%
3.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/247.5 corners/match
5.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4.25 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.67 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/249.08 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲38%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/24▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona42.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona24.2
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona16.7
Barcelona84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona7.5
Barcelona87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona48.8
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona27.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona23.8
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲24.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/570.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/59 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/57.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲21.4 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.7 shots/match
50.7%Possession10/1070.1%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/108.8 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/101.3 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls10/108.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲2.67 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.04 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.83 shots/matchShots24/24▲20.6 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲7.38 shots/match
48.5%Possession24/2468.8%
3.96 corners/matchCorners24/247.5 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards24/241.67 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/249.08 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/13▲2.31 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots12/13▲20.7 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲7.23 shots/match
49.6%Possession12/1368.7%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/137.08 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards12/132.38 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls12/139.31 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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