PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

LWWLD
2–2Full-time recap

Girona

WDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlavesGirona
Shots17 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match6 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Alaves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alaves show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Alaves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsAlaves · Girona9.84 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlavesGironaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.84 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Alaves
0Draws
1Girona
Girona — Alaves · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Girona in 3 · 5 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.04 goals/match
1.28 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.6 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/259.84 shots/match
12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2515.6 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/253.92 shots/match
3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.76 shots/match
51%Possessionseason · 25/2548.8%
5.04 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/254.04 corners/match
4.52 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/255.24 corners/match
2.24 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.6 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲16%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲72%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves62.5
Girona42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves36.7
Girona29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves62.5
Girona17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves37.5
Girona7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves72.5
Girona48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves67.5
Girona27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves64.4
Girona26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
54.8%Possession5/553.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
53.8%Possession10/1052%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.04 goals/match
1.28 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/match▲Shots25/259.84 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target25/253.92 shots/match
51%Possession25/2548.8%
5.04 corners/matchCorners25/254.04 corners/match
2.24 cards/matchCards25/252.6 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots13/139.69 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134 shots/match
51%Possession13/1348.1%
5.85 corners/matchCorners13/133.46 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards13/132.46 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAlavesGirona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match