La Liga · 2025Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

DLDWD

1–2Full-time recap

Celta Vigo

LDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona	Celta Vigo
Shots	15 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	10 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

weak

Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.4 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Girona

1Draws

0Celta Vigo

14 Sept 2025Celta Vigo — Girona · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 9 · 5 too close

1.04 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.38 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.08 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲11 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲11.6 shots/match

4.04 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/264.15 shots/match

4.77 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲4 shots/match

49.1%Possessionseason · 26/2651%

4.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.27 corners/match

5.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲4.65 corners/match

2.58 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲1.92 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2611.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲31%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/26▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona47.5

Celta Vigo67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona28.3

Celta Vigo53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona13.3

Celta Vigo71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona7.5

Celta Vigo17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona47.5

Celta Vigo22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona37.5

Celta Vigo37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona28.8

Celta Vigo40.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

51.2%Possession5/555.2%

6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match

52.4%Possession10/1051.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches

1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.38 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.08 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10 shots/matchShots26/26▲11 shots/match

4.04 shots/matchShots on target26/264.15 shots/match

49.1%Possession26/2651%

4.27 corners/matchCorners26/264.27 corners/match

2.58 cards/matchCards26/261.92 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10.4 shots/match▲Shots13/139.77 shots/match

4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/134.08 shots/match

50.2%Possession13/1348.7%

5.08 corners/matchCorners13/133.54 corners/match

2.69 cards/matchCards13/132 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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