La Liga · 2025Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap

Valencia

WLLWL

1–0Full-time recap

Osasuna

WDWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Valencia	Osasuna
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Possession	48%	52%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Valencia

0Draws

1Osasuna

24 Aug 2025Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 6 too close

1.04 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.15 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.15 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2610.8 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2613 shots/match

2.81 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲3.31 shots/match

4.15 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/264.69 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 26/2644.8%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/263.19 corners/match

4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.96 corners/match

2.19 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.62 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2623%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2662%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5

Osasuna32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia22.5

Osasuna30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia49.2

Osasuna45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia22.5

Osasuna52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia40

Osasuna77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia62.5

Osasuna2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia37.5

Osasuna30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.8 shots/matchShots5/510 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲2.2 shots/match

49%Possession5/543.4%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match

2.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.2 shots/match

50.7%Possession10/1045.1%

5 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches

1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.15 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.15 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.1 shots/matchShots26/2610.8 shots/match

2.81 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲3.31 shots/match

48.7%Possession26/2644.8%

5 corners/matchCorners26/263.19 corners/match

2.19 cards/matchCards26/262.62 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/140.57 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.14 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.5 shots/match▲Shots13/148.86 shots/match

3.15 shots/match▲Shots on target13/142.14 shots/match

51.1%Possession13/1442.4%

6.23 corners/matchCorners13/142.93 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCards13/142.86 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1412.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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