PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 1–0 Osasuna · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Osasuna

WDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 1–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
10
Expected goals
1.670.31
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Osasuna 1–0. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Osasuna): shots 14–8, shots on target 1–0, expected goals 1.67–0.31, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsValencia 14 shots, Osasuna 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot0 shotsValencia 1 shot, Osasuna 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.31 xGValencia 1.67 xG, Osasuna 0.31 xG
  • Possession48%52%Valencia 48%, Osasuna 52%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersValencia 5 corners, Osasuna 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsValencia 14 fouls, Osasuna 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsValencia 3 cards, Osasuna 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Filip Ugrinić · Valencia · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Valencia · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 26′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Valencia · 2′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 67′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 14 shots, 1 on target, 1.72 xG. Osasuna: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Largie Ramazani · Valencia · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 1.72 xG · Osasuna 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Valencia
2Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga3–3
Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga0–0
Osasuna — Valencia · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia26 matchesOsasuna26 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.12 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots26/2610.8 shots/match
2.81 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 3.31 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession26/2644.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners26/263.19 corners/match
2.19 cards/matchCards26/262.62 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headValencia — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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