PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

DWDWL
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaMallorca
Shots22 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners8 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Mallorca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mallorca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
1Draws
0Mallorca
Mallorca — Osasuna · La Liga2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 3 · 5 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/271.15 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.63 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/279.89 shots/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2715.3 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲3.74 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/275 shots/match
45%Possessionseason · 27/2744%
3.37 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/273.3 corners/match
4.78 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/276.89 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲2.41 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2711.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2711%
63%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/27▲70%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna37.5
Mallorca24.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna44.2
Mallorca10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna52.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna77.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna7.5
Mallorca2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna36.2
Mallorca17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/57.6 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲2.4 shots/match
44%Possession5/545.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/53 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession10/1044.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.3 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.15 goals/match
1.19 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.63 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots27/279.89 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲3.74 shots/match
45%Possession27/2744%
3.37 corners/matchCorners27/273.3 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards27/272.41 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches
1.85 goals/match▲Goals scored13/140.86 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots13/149 shots/match
4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target13/143.5 shots/match
47.8%Possession13/1442.1%
3.85 corners/matchCorners13/143.36 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/142.64 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls13/1411.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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