PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

LLLDL
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricElcheEspanyol
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners3 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match23 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Espanyol's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Espanyol's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible home split

strong

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8%▲PossessionElche · Espanyol41.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricElcheEspanyolBaseline
Possession58.8%41.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche
0Draws
1Espanyol
Espanyol — Elche · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 3 · 10 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/261.27 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲12.4 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲12.8 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/264.15 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/264.69 shots/match
58.8%Possessionseason · 26/2641.9%
3.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.27 corners/match
4.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/264.46 corners/match
2.12 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.27 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲27%
85%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5
Espanyol7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche45.8
Espanyol57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche24.2
Espanyol32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5
Espanyol82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche37.5
Espanyol53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche12.5
Espanyol42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche33.8
Espanyol56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/542.4%
4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
58.8%Possession10/1043%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.27 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots26/26▲12.4 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target26/264.15 shots/match
58.8%Possession26/2641.9%
3.62 corners/matchCorners26/264.27 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCards26/262.27 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 13 matches
1.57 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131.31 goals/match
1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.62 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots14/1312.7 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.77 shots/match
60.4%Possession14/1340.8%
4.29 corners/matchCorners14/134.08 corners/match
1.93 cards/matchCards14/132.15 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsElcheEspanyol
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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