La Liga · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 2–1 Elche · La Liga

2–1Historical match

Elche

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–1.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.621.29
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Elche 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Elche): shots 16–13, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.62–1.29, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Elche have a visible away split

strong

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.15 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.15 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.85 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionVillarreal · Elche● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealElcheBaseline
Possession43.6%59%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsVillarreal 16 shots, Elche 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsVillarreal 7 shots, Elche 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.29 xGVillarreal 1.62 xG, Elche 1.29 xG
  • Possession37%63%Villarreal 37%, Elche 63%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersVillarreal 4 corners, Elche 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsVillarreal 11 fouls, Elche 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsVillarreal 1 card, Elche 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rafa Mir · Elche · 51′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Elche · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Marín · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Affengruber · Elche · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Chust · Elche · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAleix Febas · Elche · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBuba Sangare · Elche · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Mouriño · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 20′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 31′ · 0.11 xG · goalÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAndré Silva · Elche · 82′ · 0.15 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 30′ · 0.20 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.21 xG · on targetPape Gueye · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 79′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.66 xG. Elche: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 31′Santiago Mouriño · Villarreal · 41′André Silva · Elche · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.66 xG · Elche 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Villarreal
0Draws
2Elche
Elche — Villarreal · La Liga1–3
Elche — Villarreal · La Liga3–1
Villarreal — Elche · La Liga4–0
Elche — Villarreal · La Liga1–0
Villarreal — Elche · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Elche in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal27 matchesElche27 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.3 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.52 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.18 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.1 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.04 shots/match
43.6%Possession27/27● 59%
4 corners/match ●Corners27/273.7 corners/match
2.44 cards/matchCards27/272.11 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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