PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LDDWD
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaRayo Vallecano
Shots11 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession42%58%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano.

7 days▲Rest daysSevilla · Rayo Vallecano3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSevillaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Rest days7 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.96 corners/match▲CornersSevilla · Rayo Vallecano5.81 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSevillaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Corners4.96 corners/match5.81 corners/match4.48 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla
0Draws
0Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 5 · 5 too close

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.22 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲13.4 shots/match
10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2711.8 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲4.63 shots/match
4.37 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/27▲3.93 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 27/2753.9%
4.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/275.81 corners/match
4.67 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/275 corners/match
3 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/272.96 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲30%
81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla45
Rayo Vallecano54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla45
Rayo Vallecano67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla7.5
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla95
Rayo Vallecano80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla60
Rayo Vallecano82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla56.9
Rayo Vallecano73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match
48.6%Possession5/550.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.8 shots/match
53.3%Possession10/1052.8%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/103.1 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲1.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots27/27▲13.4 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲4.63 shots/match
53.7%Possession27/2753.9%
4.96 corners/matchCorners27/275.81 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards27/272.96 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots14/14▲11.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.64 shots/match
53.3%Possession14/1453.6%
4.93 corners/matchCorners14/144.79 corners/match
3.14 cards/matchCards14/143.64 cards/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.98 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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