La Liga · 2025Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Real Oviedo · La Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 3–0.

Shots
198
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.450.99
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Oviedo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Oviedo): shots 19–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.45–0.99, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo.

4.21 days ▲Rest daysRayo Vallecano · Oviedo3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedoBaseline
Rest days4.21 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Oviedo9.96 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedoBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match9.96 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsRayo Vallecano 19 shots, Real Oviedo 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsRayo Vallecano 7 shots, Real Oviedo 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG0.99 xGRayo Vallecano 2.45 xG, Real Oviedo 0.99 xG
  • Possession52%48%Rayo Vallecano 52%, Real Oviedo 48%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersRayo Vallecano 12 corners, Real Oviedo 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsRayo Vallecano 10 fouls, Real Oviedo 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRayo Vallecano 1 card, Real Oviedo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ilias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Carmo · Oviedo · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHaissem Hassan · Oviedo · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThiago Borbas · Oviedo · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Fonseca · Oviedo · 76′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 62′ · 0.11 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedThiago Borbas · Oviedo · 84′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 87′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 44′ · 0.61 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.53 xG. Oviedo: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 44′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 50′Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 2.53 xG · Oviedo 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
0Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano26 matchesReal Oviedo26 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored26/260.62 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.65 goals/match
1.31 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/260.93 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/269.96 shots/match
4.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.15 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession26/2644%
5.96 corners/match ●Corners26/264.08 corners/match
2.96 cards/matchCards26/262.5 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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