PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeCampo de Futbol de VallecasFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Oviedo

LWLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedo
Shots19 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners12 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo.

4.21 days▲Rest daysRayo Vallecano · Oviedo3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedoBaseline
Rest days4.21 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsRayo Vallecano · Oviedo9.96 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoOviedoBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.96 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Rayo Vallecano
1Draws
0Oviedo
Oviedo — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Oviedo in 1 · 4 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.62 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.65 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/269.96 shots/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2615.2 shots/match
4.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/263.15 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/265.96 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 26/2644%
5.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.08 corners/match
4.96 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/265.92 corners/match
2.96 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲2.5 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2612.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2623%
62%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2638%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano72.5
Oviedo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55.8
Oviedo8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano62.5
Oviedo7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano57.5
Oviedo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano80
Oviedo60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano82.5
Oviedo27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano75
Oviedo25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/542.4%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/1042.9%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
3.1 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.62 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.65 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots26/269.96 shots/match
4.73 shots/match▲Shots on target26/263.15 shots/match
53.7%Possession26/2644%
5.96 corners/matchCorners26/264.08 corners/match
2.96 cards/matchCards26/262.5 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.15 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
0.77 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.23 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots13/139.77 shots/match
5.69 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.38 shots/match
54.2%Possession13/1342.3%
6.92 corners/matchCorners13/133.54 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards13/132.85 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRayo VallecanoOviedo
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match