PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo 0–1 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 0–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.10.97
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Madrid beat Oviedo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Oviedo – Atletico Madrid): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.1–0.97, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.64 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsOviedo · Atletico Madrid13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoAtletico MadridBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsReal Oviedo 16 shots, Atlético Madrid 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotReal Oviedo 6 shots, Atlético Madrid 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.97 xGReal Oviedo 1.1 xG, Atlético Madrid 0.97 xG
  • Possession38%62%Real Oviedo 38%, Atlético Madrid 62%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersReal Oviedo 8 corners, Atlético Madrid 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsReal Oviedo 12 fouls, Atlético Madrid 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsReal Oviedo 2 cards, Atlético Madrid 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Viñas · Oviedo · 35′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mendoza · Atletico Madrid · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKwasi Sibo · Oviedo · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavi López · Oviedo · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Fonseca · Oviedo · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulio Díaz · Atletico Madrid · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdemola Lookman · Atletico Madrid · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Atletico Madrid · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Ilić · Oviedo · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Reina · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mendoza · Atletico Madrid · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThiago Fernández · Oviedo · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosé María Giménez · Atletico Madrid · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Llorente · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atletico Madrid · 63′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 23′ · 0.15 xG · on targetIlyas Chaira · Oviedo · 45′ · 0.19 xG · on targetFederico Viñas · Oviedo · 90′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 90′ · 0.35 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Oviedo: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.11 xG. Atletico Madrid: 12 shots, 1 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Julián Alvarez · Atletico Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Oviedo 1.11 xG · Atletico Madrid 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Oviedo
0Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Real Oviedo · La Liga2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Oviedo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Oviedo25 matchesAtlético Madrid26 matches
0.64 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals25/26▲ 1.57 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots25/26▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target25/26▲ 5.42 shots/match
43.9%Possession25/26● 55.2%
4.16 corners/matchCorners25/26● 6.73 corners/match
2.52 cards/matchCards25/261.88 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal OviedoAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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