PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Camp Nou

Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 4–1.

Shots
196
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.961.29
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Villarreal 4–1. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Villarreal): shots 19–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.96–1.29, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Villarreal11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaVillarrealBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.31 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

69.2% ●PossessionBarcelona · Villarreal43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaVillarrealBaseline
Possession69.2%43.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.46 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.46 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsBarcelona 19 shots, Villarreal 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotBarcelona 8 shots, Villarreal 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.96 xG1.29 xGBarcelona 2.96 xG, Villarreal 1.29 xG
  • Possession74%26%Barcelona 74%, Villarreal 26%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersBarcelona 3 corners, Villarreal 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsBarcelona 11 fouls, Villarreal 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBarcelona 2 cards, Villarreal 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marc Bernal · Barcelona · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 37′ · 0.04 xG · goalAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 62′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJules Koundé · Barcelona · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 76′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 54′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 52′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Mouriño · Villarreal · 49′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 69′ · 0.24 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 49′ · 0.38 xG · goalDani Olmo · Barcelona · 47′ · 0.40 xG · on targetLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 28′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.00 xG. Villarreal: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.27 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 28′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 37′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 69′Pape Gueye · Villarreal · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 2.00 xG · Villarreal 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Barcelona
0Draws
2Villarreal
Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga0–2
Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga2–3
Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga1–5
Barcelona — Villarreal · La Liga3–5
Villarreal — Barcelona · La Liga3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona26 matchesVillarreal26 matches
2.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.85 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.19 goals/match
2.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.53 xG/match
20.6 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.9 shots/match
7.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.38 shots/match
69.2% ●Possession26/2643.8%
7.54 corners/match ●Corners26/264 corners/match
1.69 cards/matchCards26/262.5 cards/match
9.27 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBarcelonaVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headBarcelona — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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