La Liga · 2025Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 1–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.330.54
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Athletic Club): shots 15–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.33–0.54, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.72 corners/match ●CornersRayo Vallecano · Athletic Club5.38 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoAthletic ClubBaseline
Corners5.72 corners/match5.38 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsRayo Vallecano 15 shots, Athletic Club 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsRayo Vallecano 7 shots, Athletic Club 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG0.54 xGRayo Vallecano 1.33 xG, Athletic Club 0.54 xG
  • Possession50%50%Rayo Vallecano 50%, Athletic Club 50%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRayo Vallecano 5 corners, Athletic Club 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls17 foulsRayo Vallecano 8 fouls, Athletic Club 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRayo Vallecano 2 cards, Athletic Club 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 3′ · 0.03 xG · on targetUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 47′ · 0.04 xG · goalJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPathé Ismaël Ciss · Rayo Vallecano · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 26′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAymeric Laporte · Athletic Club · 17′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedIlias Akhomach · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 35′ · 0.67 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.38 xG. Athletic Club: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 35′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.38 xG · Athletic Club 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rayo Vallecano
0Draws
5Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Athletic Club — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–1
Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Rayo Vallecano — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano25 matchesAthletic Club26 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/261.38 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals25/26▲ 1.44 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots25/26▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target25/264.54 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession25/2649.6%
5.72 corners/match ●Corners25/265.38 corners/match
3.04 cards/matchCards25/262.5 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2613.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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