La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 3–2 Deportivo Alavés · La Liga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 3–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.631.33
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Alaves 3–2. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Alaves): shots 19–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.63–1.33, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.19 corners/match ●CornersValencia · Alaves4.96 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricValenciaAlavesBaseline
Corners5.19 corners/match4.96 corners/match4.48 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsValencia 19 shots, Deportivo Alavés 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsValencia 8 shots, Deportivo Alavés 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.63 xG1.33 xGValencia 2.63 xG, Deportivo Alavés 1.33 xG
  • Possession61%39%Valencia 61%, Deportivo Alavés 39%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersValencia 10 corners, Deportivo Alavés 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsValencia 9 fouls, Deportivo Alavés 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card6 cardsValencia 1 card, Deportivo Alavés 6 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Largie Ramazani · Valencia · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Rioja · Valencia · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Pérez · Alaves · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Boyé · Alaves · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Alaves · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Suárez · Alaves · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Alaves · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Valencia · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonny Otto · Alaves · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Valencia · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMariano Díaz · Alaves · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 46′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLucas Boyé · Alaves · 66′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 53′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLucas Boyé · Alaves · 71′ · 0.13 xG · goalUnai Núñez · Valencia · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Valencia · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 47′ · 0.45 xG · goalLucas Boyé · Alaves · 3′ · 0.82 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 19 shots, 8 on target, 2.69 xG. Alaves: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Javier Guerra · Valencia · 47′Eray Cömert · Valencia · 90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 90′Lucas Boyé · Alaves · 3′Lucas Boyé · Alaves · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 2.69 xG · Alaves 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Valencia
2Draws
3Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga0–0
Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–2
Valencia — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga0–1
Deportivo Alavés — Valencia · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia27 matchesDeportivo Alavés27 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.93 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.18 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots27/2711.9 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 3.96 shots/match
49.2%Possession27/27● 50.6%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners27/274.96 corners/match
2.15 cards/matchCards27/272.63 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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