La Liga · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Santiago BernabéuFull-time recap

Real Madrid

WWLLW

4–1Full-time recap

Elche

LDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Elche
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.09 xG/match▲	0.55 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	21 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Elche11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Elche	Baseline
Shots	18.1 shots/match	11 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	10.1 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.29 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.29 shots/match	11 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

weak

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.29 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Madrid

1Draws

0Elche

23 Nov 2025Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 0 · 6 too close

2.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/281.29 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.61 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

18.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/2811 shots/match

10.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 28/2814.5 shots/match

6.79 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/283.93 shots/match

2.96 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/284.93 shots/match

59.4%Possessionseason · 28/2858.8%

6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/283.68 corners/match

3.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/284.46 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/272.11 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2821%

89%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2886%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid92.5

Elche87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid92.5

Elche42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid94.2

Elche17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid92.5

Elche2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid17.5

Elche42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid87.5

Elche17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid70

Elche36.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

60%Possession5/561%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

60.6%Possession10/1058%

6.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards9/92.56 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

2.14 goals/match▲Goals scored28/281.29 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.61 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

18.1 shots/match▲Shots28/2811 shots/match

6.79 shots/match▲Shots on target28/283.93 shots/match

59.4%Possession28/2858.8%

6.5 corners/matchCorners28/283.68 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards27/272.11 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2813 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

2.36 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.14 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

19 shots/match▲Shots14/148.29 shots/match

7.43 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.86 shots/match

60.2%Possession14/1457.2%

6.71 corners/matchCorners14/143.07 corners/match

2.77 cards/matchCards13/132.31 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4