PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 4–1 Elche · La Liga

4–1Historical match

Elche

LDLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 4–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.250.84
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Elche 4–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Elche): shots 14–11, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.25–0.84, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Elche11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridElcheBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.36 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.36 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Elche's recent record differs from the season

weak

Elche's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsReal Madrid 14 shots, Elche 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotReal Madrid 6 shots, Elche 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.25 xG0.84 xGReal Madrid 1.25 xG, Elche 0.84 xG
  • Possession48%52%Real Madrid 48%, Elche 52%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersReal Madrid 5 corners, Elche 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls21 foulsReal Madrid 11 fouls, Elche 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsReal Madrid 1 card, Elche 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arda Güler · Real Madrid · 89′ · 0.01 xG · goalAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Cepeda · Elche · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Ángel Morán · Real Madrid · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFran García · Real Madrid · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Cepeda · Elche · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Carvajal · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGermán Valera · Elche · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Chust · Elche · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafa Mir · Elche · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRafa Mir · Elche · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Redondo · Elche · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGonzalo García · Real Madrid · 79′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.14 xG · goalManuel Ángel Morán · Elche · 85′ · 0.14 xG · goalVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 51′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGrady Diangana · Elche · 74′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.16 xG · goalAndré Silva · Elche · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetDean Huijsen · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG. Elche: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Antonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 39′Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 44′Dean Huijsen · Real Madrid · 66′Arda Güler · Real Madrid · 89′Manuel Ángel Morán · Elche · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.29 xG · Elche 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Madrid
2Draws
0Elche
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga2–2
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga4–0
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga0–3
Real Madrid — Elche · La Liga2–2
Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Elche in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid28 matchesElche28 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.61 goals/match
2.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.16 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.1 shots/match
6.79 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.93 shots/match
59.4% ●Possession28/2858.8%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners28/283.71 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards27/272.11 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2813 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridElche
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Elche
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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