PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ciudad de ValenciaFull-time recap

Levante

DLLLL
2–0Full-time recap

Alaves

WWLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLevanteAlaves
Shots22 shots/match▲17 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match7 shots/match▲
Possession49%51%
Corners10 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante, Alaves. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Levante's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Levante, Alaves.

5.2 days▲Rest daysLevante · Alaves4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLevanteAlavesBaseline
Rest days5.2 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Alaves show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alaves's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match▲ShotsLevante · Alaves12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLevanteAlavesBaseline
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Levante
0Draws
1Alaves
Alaves — Levante · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Levante favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Alaves in 6 · 6 too close

1.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.88 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/26▲1.31 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/26▲12 shots/match
16.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲12.7 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲3.96 shots/match
5.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/26▲3.92 shots/match
42.1%Possessionseason · 26/2651%
3.73 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/265.08 corners/match
6.58 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲4.73 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/262.42 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2615.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2612%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2662%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Levante7.5
Alaves62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Levante29.2
Alaves37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Levante4.2
Alaves57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Levante62.5
Alaves42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Levante42.5
Alaves77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Levante17.5
Alaves67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Levante27.5
Alaves66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/556%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.6 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5 shots/match
42.8%Possession10/1053.7%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.08 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.88 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲1.31 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots26/26▲12 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲3.96 shots/match
42.1%Possession26/2651%
3.73 corners/matchCorners26/265.08 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards26/262.42 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.54 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.46 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shots13/1311 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.54 shots/match
43.7%Possession13/1351%
4.92 corners/matchCorners13/134.31 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards13/132.69 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLevanteAlaves
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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