La Liga · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

WLDLD

2–0Full-time recap

Mallorca

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Mallorca
Shots	20 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Possession	57%	43%
Corners	7 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

1Draws

0Mallorca

23 Aug 2025Mallorca — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 4 too close

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.16 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.64 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2510.1 shots/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2515.1 shots/match

4.12 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/253.84 shots/match

3.88 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/255.12 shots/match

51.4%Possessionseason · 25/2543.8%

4.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/253.44 corners/match

4.44 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/256.84 corners/match

1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.36 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2512%

84%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2572%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5

Mallorca17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo55.8

Mallorca33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo74.2

Mallorca12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo17.5

Mallorca37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo22.5

Mallorca41.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo37.5

Mallorca7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo42.5

Mallorca23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

59.4%Possession5/540.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.7 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match

52.1%Possession10/1042.2%

4 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.16 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.64 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.2 shots/match▲Shots25/2510.1 shots/match

4.12 shots/match▲Shots on target25/253.84 shots/match

51.4%Possession25/2543.8%

4.2 corners/matchCorners25/253.44 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards25/252.36 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.92 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.3 shots/match▲Shots13/139.08 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.46 shots/match

53.4%Possession13/1341.5%

5 corners/matchCorners13/133.62 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards13/132.38 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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