PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
0–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridReal Betis
Shots10 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession65%35%
Corners7 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match3 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Atletico Madrid
0Draws
0Real Betis
Real Betis — Atletico Madrid · Copa del Rey0–5
Real Betis — Atletico Madrid · La Liga0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 1 · 7 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.61 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/231.22 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲14.7 shots/match
10.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2312.7 shots/match
5.52 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/234.87 shots/match
2.78 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.39 shots/match
54.4%Possessionseason · 23/2349.8%
6.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/234.61 corners/match
3.74 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/235.48 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/231.87 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2335%
87%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2391%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid72.5
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid80.8
Real Betis80.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid91.7
Real Betis51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid47.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid20
Real Betis10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid92.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid70
Real Betis56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match
58%Possession5/552.2%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.1 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
53.5%Possession10/1046.3%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.61 goals/match
0.78 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/231.22 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.2 shots/matchShots23/23▲14.7 shots/match
5.52 shots/match▲Shots on target23/234.87 shots/match
54.4%Possession23/2349.8%
6.91 corners/matchCorners23/234.61 corners/match
1.91 cards/matchCards23/231.87 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.25 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.5 shots/match▲Shots12/1213.3 shots/match
6.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.33 shots/match
56.3%Possession12/1248.5%
8.5 corners/matchCorners12/124.67 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards12/122 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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