La Liga · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 4–1 Espanyol · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 4–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.760.43
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Espanyol 4–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Espanyol): shots 10–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.76–0.43, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsVillarreal 10 shots, Espanyol 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVillarreal 3 shots, Espanyol 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG0.43 xGVillarreal 0.76 xG, Espanyol 0.43 xG
  • Possession49%51%Villarreal 49%, Espanyol 51%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersVillarreal 5 corners, Espanyol 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsVillarreal 18 fouls, Espanyol 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsVillarreal 3 cards, Espanyol 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edu Expósito · Espanyol · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharles Pickel · Espanyol · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Espanyol · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPol Lozano · Espanyol · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyrhys Dolan · Espanyol · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 88′ · 0.06 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTajon Buchanan · Villarreal · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 55′ · 0.09 xG · goalJose Salinas · Villarreal · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goalEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 31′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 35′ · 0.20 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.87 xG. Espanyol: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Georges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 35′Jose Salinas · Villarreal · 41′Nicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 50′Alberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 55′Leandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 0.87 xG · Espanyol 0.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Villarreal
0Draws
0Espanyol
Espanyol — Villarreal · La Liga0–2
Villarreal — Espanyol · La Liga1–0
Espanyol — Villarreal · La Liga1–2
Villarreal — Espanyol · La Liga4–2
Espanyol — Villarreal · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Espanyol in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal22 matchesEspanyol23 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/231.17 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.35 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/231.37 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots22/23▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/234.3 shots/match
44.2% ●Possession22/2342.6%
4.14 corners/matchCorners22/23● 4.57 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards22/232.17 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2313 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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