La Liga · 2025Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia 3–2 Espanyol · La Liga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Valencia won 3–2.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.551.35
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Valencia beat Espanyol 3–2. Recorded in this match (Valencia – Espanyol): shots 10–16, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.55–1.35, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsValencia 10 shots, Espanyol 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsValencia 5 shots, Espanyol 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.35 xGValencia 2.55 xG, Espanyol 1.35 xG
  • Possession47%53%Valencia 47%, Espanyol 53%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersValencia 2 corners, Espanyol 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsValencia 13 fouls, Espanyol 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsValencia 1 card, Espanyol 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Umar Sadiq · Valencia · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén Sánchez · Espanyol · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdu Expósito · Espanyol · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetUmar Sadiq · Valencia · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKike García · Espanyol · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Cabrera · Espanyol · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUrko González · Espanyol · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFernando Calero · Espanyol · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Espanyol · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Valencia · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFilip Ugrinić · Valencia · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Espanyol · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Valencia · 74′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPere Milla · Espanyol · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosé Copete · Espanyol · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalPol Lozano · Espanyol · 36′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRamón Terrats · Espanyol · 54′ · 0.20 xG · goalEray Cömert · Valencia · 59′ · 0.34 xG · goalKike García · Espanyol · 54′ · 0.50 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 16′ · 0.81 xG · goalLargie Ramazani · Valencia · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.26 xG. Espanyol: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 16′Eray Cömert · Valencia · 59′Largie Ramazani · Valencia · 90′Ramón Terrats · Espanyol · 54′José Copete · Espanyol · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 2.26 xG · Espanyol 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Valencia
5Draws
0Espanyol
Espanyol — Valencia · La Liga2–2
Valencia — Espanyol · La Liga1–1
Espanyol — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Espanyol · La Liga2–2
Espanyol — Valencia · La Liga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Espanyol in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia21 matchesEspanyol21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.45 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.48 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession21/2141.8%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners21/214.43 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards21/212.24 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2113 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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