Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
Shots9 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession47%53%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match16 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.11 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Eintracht Frankfurt
0Draws
01899 Hoffenheim
1899 HoffenheimEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga13

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 5 · 6 too close

2.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/182.11 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/181.22 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/1813.2 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/1811.6 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/185.06 shots/match
4.68 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/184.17 shots/match
52.5%Possessionseason · 19/1853.6%
4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/185.06 corners/match
3.79 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/185.22 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCardsseason · 19/182 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1815.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1822%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1883%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt69.4
1899 Hoffenheim80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt56.5
1899 Hoffenheim81.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt42.6
1899 Hoffenheim82.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt8.3
1899 Hoffenheim36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt36.1
1899 Hoffenheim79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt30.6
1899 Hoffenheim63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt43.1
1899 Hoffenheim78.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/553.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.3 goals/match
2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.9 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104.9 shots/match
49.1%Possession10/1054.2%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 18 matches
2.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/182.11 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/181.22 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.1 shots/matchShots19/1813.2 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target19/185.06 shots/match
52.5%Possession19/1853.6%
4.42 corners/matchCorners19/185.06 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCards19/182 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls19/1815.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.89 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.11 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
12.7 shots/matchShots9/911.3 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target9/94.44 shots/match
52.2%Possession9/952.9%
5 corners/matchCorners9/94.44 corners/match
1.22 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls9/914.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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