PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 1–3.

Shots
910
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.651.35
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

1899 Hoffenheim beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – 1899 Hoffenheim): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.65–1.35, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.11 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 9 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 3 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.35 xGEintracht Frankfurt 0.65 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.35 xG
  • Possession47%53%Eintracht Frankfurt 47%, TSG Hoffenheim 53%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 6 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 8 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsEintracht Frankfurt 0 cards, TSG Hoffenheim 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Can Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Prass · 1899 Hoffenheim · 1′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHugo Larsson · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 39′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJean-Mattéo Bahoya · Eintracht Frankfurt · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Kristensen · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′ · 0.10 xG · goalOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAurèle Amenda · 1899 Hoffenheim · 65′ · 0.10 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMax Moerstedt · 1899 Hoffenheim · 52′ · 0.17 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 5′ · 0.20 xG · on targetWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.24 xG · on targetOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 60′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.66 xG. 1899 Hoffenheim: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 18′Max Moerstedt · 1899 Hoffenheim · 52′Ozan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 60′Aurèle Amenda · 1899 Hoffenheim · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.66 xG · 1899 Hoffenheim 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Eintracht Frankfurt
1Draws
0TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–3
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt19 matchesTSG Hoffenheim18 matches
2.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/182.11 goals/match
2.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲ 1.62 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots19/18▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target19/18▲ 5.06 shots/match
52.5%Possession19/18● 53.6%
4.42 corners/matchCorners19/18● 5.06 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCards19/182 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls19/1815.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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