UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeTofiq BəhramovFull-time recap

Qarabağ

WLDLL

3–2Full-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Qarabağ	Eintracht Frankfurt
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	1.21 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	7 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Qarabağ: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Qarabağ 1.91 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.43 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsQarabağ · Eintracht Frankfurt7.29 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Qarabağ	Eintracht Frankfurt	Baseline
Shots	10.9 shots/match	7.29 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	17 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Qarabağ have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.9%▲PossessionQarabağ · Eintracht Frankfurt38.7%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Qarabağ	Eintracht Frankfurt	Baseline
Possession	46.9%	38.7%	50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Qarabağ favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 0 · 3 too close

2.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/71.43 goals/match

1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/72.71 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/70.76 xG/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/72.4 xG/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/77.29 shots/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/717 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/73.29 shots/match

5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/77.57 shots/match

46.9%Possessionseason · 9/738.7%

3.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/72.43 corners/match

5.56 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/75.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/78.57 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/714%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Qarabağ27.4

Eintracht Frankfurt6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Qarabağ44.2

Eintracht Frankfurt18

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Qarabağ31.8

Eintracht Frankfurt5.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Qarabağ15.5

Eintracht Frankfurt1.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ1.2

Eintracht Frankfurt8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 35%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ10.7

Eintracht Frankfurt1.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Qarabağ16.1

Eintracht Frankfurt5.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 69%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.1 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.7 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/56.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

45.8%Possession5/536.8%

4 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

6.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 7 matches

2.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/71.43 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/72.71 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.76 xG/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots9/77.29 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/73.29 shots/match

46.9%Possession9/738.7%

3.44 corners/matchCorners9/72.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFouls9/78.57 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 7 matches

2.15 goals/match▲Goals scored13/71.43 goals/match

1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/72.71 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals7/70.76 xG/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots9/77.29 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target9/73.29 shots/match

46.9%Possession9/738.7%

3.44 corners/matchCorners9/72.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.67 fouls/matchFouls9/78.57 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 4 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/41 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/42.5 goals/match

1.61 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.73 xG/match

11.4 shots/match▲Shots5/46.75 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.5 shots/match

46.8%Possession5/438%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/41.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/142.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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