UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeRams Park StadyumuFull-time recap

Galatasaray

WWWLL

1–1Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Galatasaray	Atlético Madrid
Shots	7 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.5 xG/match	1.43 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	4 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Galatasaray: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG. Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 0.61 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	2.29 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Galatasaray favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 6 · 5 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲2.29 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/71.86 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.81 xG/match

1.69 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.58 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/714 shots/match

13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/712.9 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/7▲6.14 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/74.29 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 7/751.6%

3.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/76.14 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/7▲4.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Galatasaray52.4

Atlético Madrid60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Galatasaray44.9

Atlético Madrid72.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Galatasaray60.8

Atlético Madrid46.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Galatasaray46.4

Atlético Madrid53.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray61.9

Atlético Madrid48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray19

Atlético Madrid79.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Galatasaray44.6

Atlético Madrid64.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.52 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

51.8%Possession5/553.2%

4 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.29 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.81 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots7/714 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.14 shots/match

50.6%Possession7/751.6%

3.71 corners/matchCorners7/76.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲2.29 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.81 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots7/714 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲6.14 shots/match

50.6%Possession7/751.6%

3.71 corners/matchCorners7/76.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.24 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots4/412.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match

45.5%Possession4/448.8%

4.5 corners/matchCorners4/45.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/142.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match