PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Vefa Stadium

Fatih Karagümrük 1–3 Galatasaray · Süper Lig

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 1–3.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.531.4
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Fatih Karagümrük 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fatih Karagümrük – Galatasaray): shots 10–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.53–1.4, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFatih Karagümrük · Galatasaray17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFatih KaragümrükGalatasarayBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match9.74 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Galatasaray have a visible away split

moderate

Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsFatih Karagümrük 10 shots, Galatasaray 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFatih Karagümrük 3 shots, Galatasaray 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG1.4 xGFatih Karagümrük 0.53 xG, Galatasaray 1.4 xG
  • Possession36%64%Fatih Karagümrük 36%, Galatasaray 64%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFatih Karagümrük 2 corners, Galatasaray 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsFatih Karagümrük 8 fouls, Galatasaray 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdul Kader Moussa Kone · Fatih Karagümrük · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Traore · Fatih Karagümrük · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 51′ · 0.07 xG · goalEren Elmalı · Galatasaray · 87′ · 0.07 xG · on targetİlkay Gündoğan · Galatasaray · 66′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 27′ · 0.21 xG · goalGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 1′ · 0.27 xG · goalİlkay Gündoğan · Galatasaray · 33′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 55′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG. Galatasaray: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Baris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 27′Gabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 1′Gabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 51′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 0.55 xG · Galatasaray 1.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fatih Karagümrük
1Draws
4Galatasaray
Galatasaray — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig3–0
Fatih Karagümrük — Galatasaray · Süper Lig2–3
Galatasaray — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig1–0
Galatasaray — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig3–3
Fatih Karagümrük — Galatasaray · Süper Lig0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fatih Karagümrük19 matchesGalatasaray19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2.26 goals/match
1.95 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.74 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 2.03 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 17.2 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5.89 shots/match
46.4%Possession19/19● 62.5%
3.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.26 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFatih KaragümrükGalatasaray
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headFatih Karagümrük — Galatasaray
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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