UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeGeorgios KaraiskakisFull-time recap

Olympiacos FC

LLDLW

2–0Full-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Olympiacos FC	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots	6 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.13 xG/match	2.37 xG/match▲
Possession	28%	72%
Corners	2 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Olympiacos FC: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympiacos FC 1.10 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.36 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Olympiacos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Olympiacos FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympiacos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.14 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.4%▲PossessionOlympiacos FC · Bayer 04 Leverkusen50.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Olympiacos FC	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Possession	42.4%	50.6%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Olympiacos FC favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 3 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/72 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.49 xG/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.65 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/711.9 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/714.4 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/74.14 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/75.14 shots/match

42.4%Possessionseason · 7/750.6%

4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/75 corners/match

4.29 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.14 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/729%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/7▲86%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Olympiacos FC10.7

Bayer 04 Leverkusen53.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Olympiacos FC37.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen34.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Olympiacos FC53.4

Bayer 04 Leverkusen32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Olympiacos FC72.6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen17.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Olympiacos FC70.2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen10.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Olympiacos FC51.2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen63.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Olympiacos FC51.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.47 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

37.8%Possession5/548.8%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.49 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/74.14 shots/match

42.4%Possession7/750.6%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/79.14 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.43 goals/match

1.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.49 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/74.14 shots/match

42.4%Possession7/750.6%

4.57 corners/matchCorners7/75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/79.14 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1 goals/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.21 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match

4.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match

44.5%Possession4/457%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Olympiacos FC's recent record differs from the season

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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