UEFA Champions League · 2025Georgios Karaiskakis

Olympiacos FC 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympiacos FC won 2–0.

Shots
617
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.132.37
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympiacos FC beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Olympiacos FC – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 6–17, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.13–2.37, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympiacos FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympiacos FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.4%PossessionOlympiacos FC · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 50.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympiacos FCBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession42.4%50.6%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots17 shotsOlympiacos FC 6 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsOlympiacos FC 2 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG2.37 xGOlympiacos FC 1.13 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.37 xG
  • Possession28%72%Olympiacos FC 28%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 72%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersOlympiacos FC 2 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsOlympiacos FC 13 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Francisco Ortega · Olympiacos FC · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristos Mouzakitis · Olympiacos FC · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.29 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 80′ · 0.36 xG · on targetLucas Vázquez · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blockedCostinha · Olympiacos FC · 2′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympiacos FC: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 17 shots, 6 on target, 2.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Costinha · Olympiacos FC · 2′Mehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympiacos FC 1.10 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.36 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympiacos FC favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympiacos FC7 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.49 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/74.14 shots/match
42.4%Possession7/7● 50.6%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/79.14 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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