PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025José Alvalade

Sporting 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 2–1.

Shots
1028
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.821.25
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting – Paris Saint Germain): shots 10–28, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.82–1.25, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting have a visible home split

weak

Sporting's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting · Paris Saint Germain21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSportingParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match21 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match9.14 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.3%PossessionSporting · Paris Saint Germain● 68%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSportingParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession46.3%68%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots28 shotsSporting 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 28 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsSporting 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG1.25 xGSporting 0.82 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.25 xG
  • Possession25%75%Sporting 25%, Paris Saint-Germain 75%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersSporting 2 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsSporting 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Geny Catamo · Sporting · 74′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarquinhos · Paris Saint Germain · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.03 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarquinhos · Paris Saint Germain · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint Germain · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarquinhos · Paris Saint Germain · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 15′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 74′ · 0.22 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 28 shots, 6 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 74′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting · 90′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting 0.84 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.22 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting7 matchesParis Saint-Germain7 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.86 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.14 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 21 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 7.71 shots/match
46.3%Possession7/7● 68%
3 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/78.14 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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