UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeParkenFull-time recap

FC København

LLLWW

1–1Full-time recap

Napoli

WLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC København	Napoli
Shots	5 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.38 xG/match	1.46 xG/match▲
Possession	30%	70%
Corners	1 corners/match	11 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FC København: 5 shots, 4 on target, 2.11 xG. Napoli: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC København 2.11 xG · Napoli 1.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Napoli have a visible away split

weak

Napoli's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.75 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.2 fouls/match▲FoulsFC København · Napoli13.6 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	FC København	Napoli	Baseline
Fouls	15.2 fouls/match	13.6 fouls/match	11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

weak

Napoli's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC København favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Napoli in 3 · 5 too close

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/71 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/71.71 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.38 xG/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.54 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/7▲12.3 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/712.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/73.43 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/75 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 13/752.4%

4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/76.43 corners/match

3.92 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/7▲3.57 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/713.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/729%

77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/757%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC København32.1

Napoli67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC København41.7

Napoli23.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC København63.2

Napoli48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC København20.2

Napoli15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC København89.3

Napoli79.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC København39.3

Napoli86.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC København50.3

Napoli54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.73 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match

41.4%Possession5/558%

4 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 7 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/71 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/71.71 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.38 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots10/7▲12.3 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/73.43 shots/match

44.4%Possession10/752.4%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/76.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.4 fouls/matchFouls10/713.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 7 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored13/71 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/71.71 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.38 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots13/7▲12.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target13/73.43 shots/match

47.8%Possession13/752.4%

4.38 corners/matchCorners13/76.43 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.2 fouls/matchFouls13/713.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 4 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/40.75 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/42.75 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.88 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots7/49.75 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/42.5 shots/match

45.3%Possession7/449.3%

3.57 corners/matchCorners7/46.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls7/412.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

41.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Napoli have a visible away split

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match