UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenham HotspurBorussia Dortmund
Shots16 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.23 xG/match0.38 xG/match
Possession54%46%
Corners4 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lucas Bergvall · Tottenham Hotspur · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDjed Spence · Tottenham Hotspur · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 73′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Tottenham Hotspur · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 14′ · 0.14 xG · goalDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 23′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · Tottenham Hotspur · 39′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Tottenham Hotspur · 78′ · 0.36 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 37′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.18 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Cristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 14′Dominic Solanke · Tottenham Hotspur · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.18 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match2.71 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 4 · 5 too close

2.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/72.71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/72.14 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/71.77 xG/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.43 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/712.1 shots/match
13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/712.4 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/75.71 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/75 shots/match
50.1%Possessionseason · 7/755.7%
4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/74.57 corners/match
4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/73.14 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/711.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
71%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/786%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur51.2
Borussia Dortmund83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur49
Borussia Dortmund65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur68.5
Borussia Dortmund38.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur29.8
Borussia Dortmund13.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur39.3
Borussia Dortmund51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur51.2
Borussia Dortmund51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur40.2
Borussia Dortmund51.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.21 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.92 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
49%Possession5/558%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.77 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/712.1 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/75.71 shots/match
50.1%Possession7/755.7%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/74.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.71 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.77 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots7/712.1 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/75.71 shots/match
50.1%Possession7/755.7%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/74.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.25 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/43 goals/match
2.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.2 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots4/49.25 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/43.75 shots/match
56.5%Possession4/452%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

42 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match