PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeTottenham Hotspur StadiumFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTottenhamWest Ham
Shots21 shots/match▲17 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession62%38%
Corners11 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match17 fouls/match
Yellow cards5 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6%▲PossessionTottenham · West Ham43%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenhamWest HamBaseline
Possession51.6%43%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham
0Draws
0West Ham
West Ham — Tottenham · Premier League0–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Tottenham favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · West Ham in 1 · 5 too close

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221.09 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/222 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2210.3 shots/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2215.4 shots/match
3.55 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/223.36 shots/match
3.95 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/225.55 shots/match
51.6%Possessionseason · 22/2243%
5.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.32 corners/match
5.05 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/226.41 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/22▲1.82 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/225%
82%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2264%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham57.5
West Ham15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham34.2
West Ham22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham60
West Ham5.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham7.5
West Ham42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham77.5
West Ham62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham72.5
West Ham60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham46.2
West Ham44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
50.2%Possession5/547%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match
3.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.7 shots/match
50.1%Possession10/1042.1%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match
3.3 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches
1.41 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221.09 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/222 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots22/2210.3 shots/match
3.55 shots/match▲Shots on target22/223.36 shots/match
51.6%Possession22/2243%
5.45 corners/matchCorners22/225.32 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCards22/221.82 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.18 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111 goals/match
1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.1 shots/match
3.82 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.18 shots/match
54.3%Possession11/1143.1%
5.82 corners/matchCorners11/114.73 corners/match
3.27 cards/matchCards11/111.82 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsTottenhamWest Ham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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