PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 2–0 Brentford · Premier League

Chelsea

DLDDL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 2–0.

Shots
615
Shots on target
25
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Brentford 2–0. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Brentford): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–5, possession 46%–54%, corners 3–9. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2% ●PossessionChelsea · Brentford46.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaBrentfordBaseline
Possession57.2%46.6%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsChelsea 6 shots, Brentford 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsChelsea 2 shots, Brentford 5 shots
  • Possession46%54%Chelsea 46%, Brentford 54%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersChelsea 3 corners, Brentford 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsChelsea 7 fouls, Brentford 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsChelsea 3 cards, Brentford 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Chelsea
3Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League2–2
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League2–1
Brentford — Chelsea · Premier League2–2
Chelsea — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 7 of 9 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea22 matchesBrentford22 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.59 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.36 goals/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.5 shots/match
4.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.27 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession22/2246.6%
5.77 corners/match ●Corners22/225.09 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards22/221.95 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsChelseaBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headChelsea — Brentford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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