Premier League · 2025Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeElland RoadFull-time recap

Leeds

WDDDL

1–0Full-time recap

Fulham

WWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Leeds	Fulham
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	7 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	5 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Leeds have a visible home split

moderate

Leeds's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leeds

0Draws

1Fulham

13 Sept 2025Fulham — Leeds · Premier League1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Leeds favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Fulham in 3 · 7 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/221.36 goals/match

1.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 22/22▲1.41 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2211.8 shots/match

11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2211.5 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/223.64 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 22/224 shots/match

45.6%Possessionseason · 22/2251.4%

4.59 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/224.45 corners/match

3.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.77 corners/match

1.45 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 22/222.27 cards/match

9.95 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2211.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/22▲23%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/22▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leeds32.5

Fulham52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leeds48.3

Fulham40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leeds45

Fulham55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leeds92.5

Fulham32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leeds21.2

Fulham73.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leeds35

Fulham27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leeds43.1

Fulham44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

43.4%Possession5/553.4%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match

42.5%Possession10/1052.1%

5.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match

1.1 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match

9.1 fouls/matchFouls10/108.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches

1.36 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.36 goals/match

1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲1.41 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.8 shots/match▲Shots22/2211.8 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target22/223.64 shots/match

45.6%Possession22/2251.4%

4.59 corners/matchCorners22/224.45 corners/match

1.45 cards/matchCards22/222.27 cards/match

9.95 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111 goals/match

1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.64 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

15.2 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.5 shots/match

4.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.64 shots/match

45.6%Possession11/1149.7%

5.45 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match

1.73 cards/matchCards11/112.82 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.78 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.81 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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