Premier League · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeCraven CottageFull-time recap

Fulham

WDDWL

2–1Full-time recap

Brighton

LDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Brighton
Shots	12 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	49%	51%
Corners	6 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham

1Draws

0Brighton

16 Aug 2025Brighton — Fulham · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Brighton in 3 · 9 too close

1.39 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.43 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.35 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲13.3 shots/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2312.6 shots/match

3.65 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.48 shots/match

4.04 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/234.13 shots/match

51.3%Possessionseason · 23/2352.5%

4.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235 corners/match

5.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4.74 corners/match

2.22 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 23/232.52 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2322%

83%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2383%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham52.5

Brighton62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham37.5

Brighton61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham55

Brighton46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham32.5

Brighton72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham70

Brighton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham27.5

Brighton42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham40.6

Brighton66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.6 shots/match

52%Possession5/555.8%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match

10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.3 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.2 shots/match

53.3%Possession10/1055.8%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match

8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches

1.39 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.43 goals/match

1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.35 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.8 shots/matchShots23/23▲13.3 shots/match

3.65 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.48 shots/match

51.3%Possession23/2352.5%

4.52 corners/matchCorners23/235 corners/match

2.22 cards/matchCards23/232.52 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1212.2 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲3.92 shots/match

52.7%Possession12/1251.4%

5.17 corners/matchCorners12/124.5 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards12/123.33 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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