Premier League · 2025Mon, 19 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeAmex StadiumFull-time recap

Brighton

DLDWD

1–1Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton	Bournemouth
Shots	17 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	11 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12 fouls/match▲FoulsBrighton · Bournemouth12.5 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton	Bournemouth	Baseline
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12.5 fouls/match	10.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brighton

0Draws

1Bournemouth

13 Sept 2025Bournemouth — Brighton · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Brighton favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 2 · 9 too close

1.45 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 22/22▲1.59 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.86 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 22/2213.6 shots/match

12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 22/2212.6 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 22/22▲4.82 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/224.68 shots/match

52.6%Possessionseason · 22/2249.8%

4.95 corners/matchCornersseason · 22/225.68 corners/match

4.68 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/224.95 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 22/222.5 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2223%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2282%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton62.5

Bournemouth47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton63.3

Bournemouth78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton44.2

Bournemouth23.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton72.5

Bournemouth87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton88.8

Bournemouth87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton42.5

Bournemouth80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton66.2

Bournemouth83.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.8 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match

55%Possession5/540.4%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.6 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.7 shots/matchShots10/1014 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match

55.5%Possession10/1046.2%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.5 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

22 / 22 matches

1.45 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲1.59 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.86 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/matchShots22/2213.6 shots/match

4.45 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲4.82 shots/match

52.6%Possession22/2249.8%

4.95 corners/matchCorners22/225.68 corners/match

2.59 cards/matchCards22/222.5 cards/match

12 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches

1.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.73 goals/match

1.09 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.73 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.6 shots/match▲Shots11/1113.6 shots/match

5.09 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5.45 shots/match

53.7%Possession11/1145.6%

5.55 corners/matchCorners11/116.18 corners/match

1.64 cards/matchCards11/112.82 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match