PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Villa Park

Aston Villa 0–1 Everton · Premier League

0–1Historical match

Everton

LDWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 0–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
53
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Aston Villa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Everton): shots 18–9, shots on target 5–3, possession 63%–37%, corners 6–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionAston Villa · Everton42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaEvertonBaseline
Possession53.5%42.7%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsAston Villa 18 shots, Everton 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Possession63%37%Aston Villa 63%, Everton 37%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Everton 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsAston Villa 15 fouls, Everton 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAston Villa 1 card, Everton 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Aston Villa
2Draws
0Everton
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League3–2
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 5 of 9 directional metrics · Everton in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa22 matchesEverton22 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.09 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.14 goals/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.8 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.14 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession22/2242.7%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners22/224.18 corners/match
1.55 cards/matchCards22/222.05 cards/match
9.77 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headAston Villa — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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