PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 15:00 UTCFull timeTurf MoorFull-time recap

Burnley

DLLDD
2–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBurnleyTottenham
Shots9 shots/match18 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Possession38%62%
Corners1 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Tottenham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.83 shots/match▲ShotsBurnley · Tottenham11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyTottenhamBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.5%▲PossessionBurnley · Tottenham52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyTottenhamBaseline
Possession40.5%52%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Burnley
0Draws
1Tottenham
Tottenham — Burnley · Premier League3–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Burnley favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham in 9 · 4 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/23▲1.43 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.35 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.83 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲11 shots/match
17.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲11.6 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲3.87 shots/match
6.09 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.96 shots/match
40.5%Possessionseason · 23/2352%
3.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235.35 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲4.87 corners/match
1.7 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 23/232.7 cards/match
9.96 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/23▲30%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Burnley2.5
Tottenham57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Burnley9.2
Tottenham41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Burnley4.2
Tottenham61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Burnley12.5
Tottenham7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Burnley36.2
Tottenham77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Burnley7.5
Tottenham62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Burnley11.2
Tottenham48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
37.6%Possession5/555%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.2 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.9 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
41.7%Possession10/1050%
4.2 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲1.43 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.35 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.83 shots/matchShots23/23▲11 shots/match
2.96 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲3.87 shots/match
40.5%Possession23/2352%
3.43 corners/matchCorners23/235.35 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards23/232.7 cards/match
9.96 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.67 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.25 shots/matchShots12/12▲10.1 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲3.92 shots/match
42.1%Possession12/1250%
3.08 corners/matchCorners12/124.92 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards12/122.17 cards/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBurnleyTottenham
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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