PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Arouca

FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 1–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.11.05
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Arouca 2–1. Recorded in this match (Arouca – Sporting CP): shots 11–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.1–1.05, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsArouca · Sporting CP19.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAroucaSporting CPBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match19.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match8.55 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arouca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arouca's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.4%PossessionArouca · Sporting CP● 62.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAroucaSporting CPBaseline
Possession50.4%62.5%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsFC Arouca 11 shots, Sporting 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsFC Arouca 5 shots, Sporting 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.05 xGFC Arouca 1.1 xG, Sporting 1.05 xG
  • Possession35%65%FC Arouca 35%, Sporting 65%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersFC Arouca 4 corners, Sporting 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsFC Arouca 11 fouls, Sporting 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsFC Arouca 3 cards, Sporting 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.03 xG · goalGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Puche · Arouca · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Esgaio · Arouca · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPablo Gozálbez · Arouca · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 46′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJavi Sánchez · Arouca · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZeno Debast · Sporting CP · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalMorten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 21′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 29′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 54′ · 0.32 xG · on targetIvan Barbero · Arouca · 48′ · 0.34 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arouca: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. Sporting CP: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ivan Barbero · Arouca · 48′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arouca 1.12 xG · Sporting CP 1.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Arouca
1Draws
4Sporting
Sporting — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga6–0
Sporting — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–2
FC Arouca — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
FC Arouca — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Arouca favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Arouca21 matchesSporting20 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/20▲ 2.9 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed21/20▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 2.27 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots21/20▲ 19.1 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 7.6 shots/match
50.4%Possession21/20● 62.5%
3.9 corners/matchCorners21/20● 6.9 corners/match
3.26 cards/matchCards19/192.47 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2012.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AroucaSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Arouca — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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