PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Auxerre 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Auxerre

DWLLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–1.

Shots
816
Shots on target
08
Expected goals
0.32.07
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Auxerre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Paris Saint Germain): shots 8–16, shots on target 0–8, expected goals 0.3–2.07, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionAuxerre · Paris Saint Germain● 69.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession44.1%69.2%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · Paris Saint Germain17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match17.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match8.42 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsAuxerre 8 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots8 shotsAuxerre 0 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG2.07 xGAuxerre 0.3 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.07 xG
  • Possession31%69%Auxerre 31%, Paris Saint-Germain 69%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAuxerre 2 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsAuxerre 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAuxerre 0 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Warren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRudy Matondo · Auxerre · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOussama El Azzouzi · Auxerre · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRudy Matondo · Auxerre · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 75′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 30′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 2′ · 0.18 xG · on targetIlya Zabarnyi · Paris Saint Germain · 36′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 63′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.30 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 16 shots, 8 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.30 xG · Paris Saint Germain 2.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Auxerre
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Auxerre · Ligue 13–1
Auxerre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–0
Auxerre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Auxerre · Ligue 15–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre19 matchesParis Saint-Germain19 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 2.16 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.81 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 17.5 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 6.89 shots/match
44.1%Possession19/19● 69.2%
4.95 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.21 corners/match
2.63 cards/matchCards19/191.11 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1910.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Jan 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAuxerre — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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