PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeStade OcéaneFull-time recap
0–0Full-time recap

Monaco

WLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLe HavreMonaco
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match▲
Shots on target1 shots/match2 shots/match▲
Possession47%53%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match20 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lamine Camara · Monaco · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoam Obougou Jacquet · Le Havre · 80′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoic Négo · Le Havre · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · Monaco · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKassoum Ouattara · Monaco · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG. Monaco: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.21 xG · Monaco 0.40 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Le Havre
0Draws
1Monaco
Monaco — Le Havre · Ligue 13–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Le Havre favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Monaco in 5 · 4 too close

0.84 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.47 goals/match
1.26 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 19/191.74 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲12.4 shots/match
12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.4 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.11 shots/match
3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/194.53 shots/match
45.9%Possessionseason · 19/1953.7%
4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194.68 corners/match
4.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.26 corners/match
1.89 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/192.68 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1913.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
32%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1916%
58%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Le Havre36.1
Monaco69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Le Havre23.2
Monaco52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Le Havre58.3
Monaco26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Le Havre47.2
Monaco36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Le Havre61.1
Monaco83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Le Havre47.2
Monaco52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Le Havre48.6
Monaco56.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4 shots/match
46%Possession5/552.4%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match
47.3%Possession10/1051.2%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.8 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.47 goals/match
1.26 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.74 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/matchShots19/19▲12.4 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.11 shots/match
45.9%Possession19/1953.7%
4.63 corners/matchCorners19/194.68 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards19/192.68 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 9 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/91.11 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots10/911.7 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/93.67 shots/match
49.6%Possession10/953.9%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/94.78 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/93.44 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls10/914.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.07 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jan 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLe HavreMonaco
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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