Ligue 1 · 2025Roazhon Park

Stade Rennais 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais and Le Havre drew 1–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.610.75
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rennes and Le Havre drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rennes – Le Havre): shots 19–7, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.61–0.75, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rennes have a visible home split

moderate

Rennes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsStade Rennais 19 shots, Le Havre 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsStade Rennais 7 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.75 xGStade Rennais 2.61 xG, Le Havre 0.75 xG
  • Possession54%46%Stade Rennais 54%, Le Havre 46%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersStade Rennais 10 corners, Le Havre 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsStade Rennais 18 fouls, Le Havre 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsStade Rennais 1 card, Le Havre 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Quentin Merlin · Rennes · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Rennes · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Rennes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Ebonog · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Rennes · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetValentin Rongier · Rennes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPrzemysław Frankowski · Rennes · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMousa Tamari · Rennes · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Rennes · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFelix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 61′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Rennes · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedFelix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 69′ · 0.24 xG · goalAyumu Seko · Le Havre · 32′ · 0.29 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Rennes · 50′ · 0.33 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · Rennes · 86′ · 0.40 xG · goalMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 80′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Rennes · 75′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rennes: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.62 xG. Le Havre: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Breel Embolo · Rennes · 86′Felix Mambimbi · Le Havre · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rennes 2.62 xG · Le Havre 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
2Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2
Le Havre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–5
Stade Rennais — Le Havre · Ligue 11–0
Le Havre — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Le Havre · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais18 matchesLe Havre18 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.89 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.33 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.22 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.4 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.83 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession18/1845.9%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners18/184.61 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards18/182 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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