PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
Shots12 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession44%56%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach · VfB Stuttgart15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

8 days▲Rest daysBorussia Mönchengladbach · VfB Stuttgart7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachVfB StuttgartBaseline
Rest days8 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Borussia Mönchengladbach
0Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga1–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 8 · 4 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/19▲1.89 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.37 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲15.4 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 19/19▲12.5 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲5.89 shots/match
5.58 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/19▲4.32 shots/match
45.6%Possessionseason · 19/1956.7%
4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/195.53 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/19▲4.21 corners/match
1.32 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 19/191.89 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/199.74 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/1937%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 19/19▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4
VfB Stuttgart86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach26.8
VfB Stuttgart80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach24.1
VfB Stuttgart69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach25
VfB Stuttgart63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.4
VfB Stuttgart40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3
VfB Stuttgart86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach35.4
VfB Stuttgart73.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲14 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.6 shots/match
43.2%Possession5/552.2%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.4 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.1 shots/match
44.8%Possession10/1054.7%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/108.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

19 / 19 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲1.89 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.37 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲15.4 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.89 shots/match
45.6%Possession19/1956.7%
4.42 corners/matchCorners19/195.53 corners/match
1.32 cards/matchCards19/191.89 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls19/199.74 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.3 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/1058.5%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
1.1 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia MönchengladbachVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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