PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 16 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeWeserstadionFull-time recap
3–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWerder BremenEintracht Frankfurt
Shots13 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen, Eintracht Frankfurt. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Werder Bremen, Eintracht Frankfurt.

3 days▲Rest daysWerder Bremen · Eintracht Frankfurt3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWerder BremenEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Rest days3 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Werder Bremen
0Draws
1Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 7 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/18▲2.11 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/182.17 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1812.2 shots/match
15.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/18▲12.2 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/18▲4.5 shots/match
6.24 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/18▲4.67 shots/match
49.3%Possessionseason · 17/1852.8%
4.24 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/184.33 corners/match
5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/18▲3.67 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/18▲1.78 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1811.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1817%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/18▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Werder Bremen52.8
Eintracht Frankfurt75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Werder Bremen29.7
Eintracht Frankfurt56.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Werder Bremen10.2
Eintracht Frankfurt43.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Werder Bremen30.6
Eintracht Frankfurt8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen61.1
Eintracht Frankfurt44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen25
Eintracht Frankfurt30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Werder Bremen29.9
Eintracht Frankfurt45.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
48.8%Possession5/546.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match
51.2%Possession10/1051.6%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 18 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/18▲2.11 goals/match
2 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/182.17 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots17/1812.2 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target17/18▲4.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession17/1852.8%
4.24 corners/matchCorners17/184.33 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards17/181.78 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1811.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 10 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/10▲2.3 goals/match
1.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/102.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots8/1011.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/104.2 shots/match
51.5%Possession8/1052.8%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/103.9 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards8/102.1 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls8/1011.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsWerder BremenEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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