PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Tue, 13 Jan 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeMHPArenaFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
Shots20 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target11 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for VfB Stuttgart, Eintracht Frankfurt. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for VfB Stuttgart, Eintracht Frankfurt.

3 days▲Rest daysVfB Stuttgart · Eintracht Frankfurt3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Rest days3 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfB Stuttgart favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 3 · 6 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/17▲2.06 goals/match
1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/172.12 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
15.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1712.5 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1712.1 shots/match
5.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/174.53 shots/match
4.47 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/174.71 shots/match
56.8%Possessionseason · 17/1753.6%
5.76 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/174.53 corners/match
4.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/17▲3.65 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/17▲1.65 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1710.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1718%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1788%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfB Stuttgart86.1
Eintracht Frankfurt75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfB Stuttgart81.5
Eintracht Frankfurt59.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfB Stuttgart68.5
Eintracht Frankfurt44.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfB Stuttgart63.9
Eintracht Frankfurt8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart44.5
Eintracht Frankfurt33.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart86.1
Eintracht Frankfurt30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfB Stuttgart73.6
Eintracht Frankfurt43.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54 shots/match
50.4%Possession5/548.2%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.8 shots/match
6.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1052.7%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.2 cards/match
9.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲2.06 goals/match
1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172.12 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.5 shots/match▲Shots17/1712.5 shots/match
5.88 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.53 shots/match
56.8%Possession17/1753.6%
5.76 corners/matchCorners17/174.53 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards17/171.65 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 9 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲2.22 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/92.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.9 shots/match▲Shots8/911.9 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target8/94.22 shots/match
54.5%Possession8/954.2%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/94.22 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/91.89 cards/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/911.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.92 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Jan 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match