PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Allianz Arena

FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

8–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 8–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
3.31.36
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat VfL Wolfsburg 8–1. Recorded in this match (Bayern München – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 16–8, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 3.3–1.36, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBayern München · VfL Wolfsburg11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against8.56 shots/match15 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

68% ●PossessionBayern München · VfL Wolfsburg45%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayern MünchenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession68%45%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsFC Bayern München 16 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 10 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.3 xG1.36 xGFC Bayern München 3.3 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.36 xG
  • Possession68%32%FC Bayern München 68%, VfL Wolfsburg 32%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsFC Bayern München 7 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardFC Bayern München 0 cards, VfL Wolfsburg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKevin Paredes · VfL Wolfsburg · 80′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTom Bischof · Bayern München · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · Bayern München · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · Bayern München · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 69′ · 0.04 xG · goalLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaël Kumbedi · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 50′ · 0.09 xG · goalChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Jenz · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.10 xG · goalMichael Olise · Bayern München · 64′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 48′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 88′ · 0.17 xG · goalKilian Fischer · Bayern München · 5′ · 0.20 xG · goalLennart Karl · Bayern München · 39′ · 0.25 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 10′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 76′ · 0.39 xG · goalDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 13′ · 0.49 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · Bayern München · 68′ · 0.49 xG · goalHarry Kane · Bayern München · 60′ · 0.53 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 30′ · 0.58 xG · goalDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 66′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayern München: 18 shots, 12 on target, 3.58 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Kilian Fischer · Bayern München · 5′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 30′Michael Olise · Bayern München · 50′Moritz Jenz · Bayern München · 53′Raphaël Guerreiro · Bayern München · 68′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 69′Michael Olise · Bayern München · 76′Leon Goretzka · Bayern München · 88′Dženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayern München 3.58 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5FC Bayern München
0Draws
0VfL Wolfsburg
FC Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–2
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3
FC Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München16 matchesVfL Wolfsburg16 matches
3.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/162.25 goals/match
2.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.37 xG/match
19.5 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.8 shots/match
8.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.25 shots/match
68% ●Possession16/1645%
5.81 corners/match ●Corners16/163.44 corners/match
2.06 cards/matchCards16/161.94 cards/match
9.31 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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