Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachFC Augsburg
Shots12 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match2 shots/match
Possession52%48%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 4 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.06 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/162 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1612.8 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1613.5 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/163.94 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.56 shots/match
46.6%Possessionseason · 16/1645.9%
4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.25 corners/match
5.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/164.63 corners/match
1.31 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/162.94 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1663%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach36.1
FC Augsburg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach35.2
FC Augsburg35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2
FC Augsburg38
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach36.1
FC Augsburg80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.4
FC Augsburg88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
FC Augsburg19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach43
FC Augsburg47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.6 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
48%Possession5/544.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
0.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
10.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.4 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
45.1%Possession10/1044.9%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
0.8 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.06 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/162 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11.6 shots/matchShots16/1612.8 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target16/163.94 shots/match
46.6%Possession16/1645.9%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/164.25 corners/match
1.31 cards/matchCards16/162.94 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored9/81 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/82.13 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
11 shots/matchShots9/812.8 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target9/83.63 shots/match
45.9%Possession9/844.3%
4.44 corners/matchCorners9/83 corners/match
1.11 cards/matchCards9/83 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls9/813.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

22.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/122 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath