PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap
5–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric1899 HoffenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots18 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession66%34%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Borussia Mönchengladbach. A second useful context is: 1899 Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

25.2 days▲Rest days1899 Hoffenheim · Borussia Mönchengladbach3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1899 HoffenheimBorussia MönchengladbachBaseline
Rest days25.2 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days0 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6%▲Possession1899 Hoffenheim · Borussia Mönchengladbach45.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1899 HoffenheimBorussia MönchengladbachBaseline
Possession54.6%45.9%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 2 · 5 too close

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/171.35 goals/match
1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/171.71 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1711.4 shots/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1714.5 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/174.47 shots/match
4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/175.06 shots/match
54.6%Possessionseason · 16/1745.9%
5.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/174.59 corners/match
5.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/175.24 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCardsseason · 16/17▲1.29 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1711.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/17▲41%
81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1759%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim80.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim79.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach32.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim76.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim19.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim69.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach33.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim69.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim79.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
59%Possession5/546.4%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/50.6 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match
0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.9 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
56.2%Possession10/1042.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/100.6 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 17 matches
2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored16/171.35 goals/match
1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/171.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots16/1711.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/174.47 shots/match
54.6%Possession16/1745.9%
5.13 corners/matchCorners16/174.59 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards16/171.29 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.5 shots/match▲Shots8/811.8 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target8/85.13 shots/match
56.4%Possession8/845.9%
6 corners/matchCorners8/84.75 corners/match
1.63 cards/matchCards8/81.5 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

25.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.21 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Jan 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
Teams1899 HoffenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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