PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 0–4 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–4.

Shots
723
Shots on target
111
Expected goals
1.044.44
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Bayern München): shots 7–23, shots on target 1–11, expected goals 1.04–4.44, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · Bayern München19.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match19.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match8.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.7%Possession1. FC Heidenheim · Bayern München● 68%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayern MünchenBaseline
Possession41.7%68%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.87 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots23 shots1. FC Heidenheim 7 shots, FC Bayern München 23 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 1 shot, FC Bayern München 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG4.44 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.04 xG, FC Bayern München 4.44 xG
  • Possession26%74%1. FC Heidenheim 26%, FC Bayern München 74%
  • Corners0 corners6 corners1. FC Heidenheim 0 corners, FC Bayern München 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 8 fouls, FC Bayern München 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards0 cards1. FC Heidenheim 0 cards, FC Bayern München 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Olise · Bayern München · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · Bayern München · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayern München · 12′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 83′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 85′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLennart Karl · Bayern München · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHiroki Ito · Bayern München · 32′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayern München · 15′ · 0.17 xG · on targetArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.25 xG · on targetStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 90′ · 0.50 xG · goalMichael Olise · Bayern München · 32′ · 0.74 xG · goalLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 86′ · 0.79 xG · goalJosip Stanišić · Bayern München · 15′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.17 xG. Bayern München: 23 shots, 11 on target, 4.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Josip Stanišić · Bayern München · 15′Michael Olise · Bayern München · 32′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 86′Harry Kane · Bayern München · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.17 xG · Bayern München 4.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
3FC Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim15 matchesFC Bayern München15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 3.67 goals/match
2.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.73 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 2.95 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 19.7 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 8.6 shots/match
41.7%Possession15/15● 68%
4.93 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.8 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards15/152.2 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls15/159.47 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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