PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Stadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 1–2.

Shots
910
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.970.59
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat Union Berlin 2–1. Recorded in this match (Union Berlin – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 9–10, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.97–0.59, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shots1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shots1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG0.59 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.97 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.59 xG
  • Possession43%57%1. FC Union Berlin 43%, 1. FC Heidenheim 57%
  • Corners5 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 5 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 13 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cards1. FC Union Berlin 3 cards, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Rothe · Union Berlin · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAljoscha Kemlein · Union Berlin · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalDerrick Köhn · Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · Union Berlin · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · Union Berlin · 70′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union Berlin: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.93 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Rani Khedira · Union Berlin · 43′Stefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union Berlin 0.93 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
1Draws
31. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga0–3
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–2
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin12 matches1. FC Heidenheim12 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.25 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.04 xG/match
11.6 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target12/123.5 shots/match
34.2%Possession12/12● 41.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners12/124.58 corners/match
2.42 cards/matchCards12/121.67 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union Berlin1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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